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<div style="border-bottom:2px #B87333 solid; text-align:lrft; padding:1px; margin:1px;"><font color='#800000' size='+1'>'''The Cloud (Part 2) - What Caused The Cloud?'''.</font>  </div>
<div style="border-bottom:2px #B87333 solid; text-align:lrft; padding:1px; margin:1px;"><font color='#800000' size='+1'>'''The Cloud (Part 2) - What Caused The Cloud?'''.</font>  </div>
<youtube>http://youtu.be/ne_eJ9osvnc</youtube>
<youtube>http://youtu.be/ne_eJ9osvnc</youtube>
[[Image:Cloud-Large.jpg|250px|right|thumb|Page 112 of the May 1963 edition of Life Magazine]]  
[[Image:Cloud-Large.jpg|250px|right|thumb|Page 112 of the May 1963 edition of Life Magazine]]


At around sunset on February 28, 1963, a cloud (referred to in this article as the "Cloud") appeared in the vicinity of Flagstaff, AZ and remained sunlit for 28 minutes after sunset. It was highlighted in the [[Life Magazine May1963 (Page 112)|May 1963 edition of Life Magazine]].  In addition to Life Magazine, various articles written appeared in Science Magazine (April 19, 1963), an independent report issued May 31, 1963], and in Weatherwise Magazine (June 1963)].
= The Arizona Cloud of February 28, 1963 =
At around sunset on February 28, 1963, an unusual cloud appeared in the vicinity of Flagstaff, Arizona and remained sunlit for 28 minutes after sunset. It attracted significant scientific attention, appearing in the [[Life Magazine May1963 (Page 112)|May 1963 edition of Life Magazine]], ''Science Magazine'' (April 19, 1963), ''Weatherwise Magazine'' (June 1963), and an independent scientific report issued May 31, 1963.


The cloud was very unusual and puzzled scientists at the time, who could not find a conclusive explanation for the cloud. The height of the cloud was initially estimated by James E. McDonald from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the University of Arizona, Tucson, as being approximately 35 kilometers but was later revised by him to be at approximately 43 kilometers (141,000 feet).  
Dr. James E. McDonald of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the University of Arizona initially estimated the cloud's altitude at approximately 35 kilometers, later revising that figure to approximately 43 kilometers (141,000 feet). Despite his investigation, no conclusive public explanation was offered at the time.
----


=Was the Cloud important?=
== What Does the Cloud Mean? ==
Followers of William Branham's message view the cloud as supernatural — the fulfillment of a December 1962 vision in which Branham foresaw seven angels meeting him outside Tucson, Arizona (see [[Prophecy of the Cloud]]).. They connect it to his subsequent opening of the Seven Seals and regard it as divine confirmation of his prophetic ministry.


Believers of William Branham's message view the cloud as part of the fulfillment of a vision that William Branham had in December 1962 that Seven Angels would meet him outside of Tuscon, Arizona (see [[Prophecy of the Cloud]]).  They see it as a supernatural sign the preceded William Branham's opening of the [[Seven Seals]].
Critics take a different view entirely. They argue the cloud has a straightforward natural explanation: it was the debris from a Thor rocket intentionally destroyed over Vandenberg Air Force Base earlier that same day. More significantly, critics argue that Branham's own testimony about being present at the cloud's formation is demonstrably false — a story that emerged only after he saw the ''Life Magazine'' photograph, and that directly contradicts verifiable facts about the cloud's location and timing.
----


Critics view the cloud as simply being the aftermath of the intentional destruction of a Thor rocket over Vandenburg air force base. They also view William Branham's stories about the cloud being the aftermath of the angelic visitation as untruthful as these stories are in direct contravention with the facts. They believe that William Branham's own testimony clearly show that he made up the stories about being at the cloud's genesis and that these stories only began after he saw the article in Life Magazine.
== The Scientific Explanation ==
On February 28, 1963, a thrust-assisted Thor rocket was launched from pad 75-3-5 at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California, carrying a Keyhole 4 military surveillance satellite.<ref name=":0">http://www.astronautix.com/thisday/febary28.htm</ref> The rocket veered off course and was intentionally destroyed<ref name=":1">http://www.friends-partners.org/partners/mwade/lvs/tatgenad.htm</ref> at an altitude of 44 kilometers (144,000 feet) at 1:52 p.m.<ref name=":2">McDonald, Dr. James E, Cloud-Ring in the Upper Stratosphere, ''Weatherwise'', June 1963, Page 100</ref>


=Explanations for the Cloud=
Several lines of evidence connect the rocket to the cloud:


Followers of the message believe that there is a complete supernatural explanation for the Cloud while those outside of the message think that it simply a natural phenomena that had a credible scientific explanation.  
# '''Same day.''' The rocket was destroyed on the same day the cloud appeared.
# '''Same altitude.''' The rocket was destroyed at 44 kilometers; the cloud was independently estimated at 43 kilometers — a near-exact match.
# '''Consistent wind speeds.''' No wind speed data was recorded at Vandenberg on that specific day, but Dr. McDonald noted that wind speeds measured at comparable altitudes at other times were "tantalizingly close" to what would have been required to carry debris from Vandenberg to Flagstaff. Since wind speeds vary by location and altitude, these measurements are consistent with a transport scenario, not proof against one.
# '''Military confirmation.''' When launch records were later declassified, the United States Air Force released documentation confirming that the cloud resulted from a military rocket operation.<ref>Jackson, Jeff G., 30th Space Wing History, Department of the Air Force, January 26, 1995, Vandenburg AFB, California</ref>


==The Scientific Explanation==
Dr. McDonald initially noted that clouds do not normally form at mesospheric altitudes — but subsequent research demonstrated that visible exhaust clouds from rocket launches can indeed reach into the mesosphere.<ref>http://www.spokenwordchurch.com/themessageresourcelibrary/Articles/Cloud%20Article%20-%20Dr%20McDonalds%20Cloud%20Investigation%20Supplement%201963.pdf</ref><ref>http://www.atoptics.co.uk/highsky/rktr1j.htm</ref> NASA has since created similar high-altitude clouds in chemical experiments, and some closely resemble the shape photographed on February 28 — appearing without any visible exhaust trail back to the launch site.<ref>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/03/pictures/120327-nasa-rockets-clouds-wallops-jet-stream-edge-space-science/#/nasa-rocket-launch-strange-clouds-blue_50490_600x450.jpg</ref>


On February 28, 1963, a thrust assisted Thor rocket was launched from pad 75-3-5 at Vandenburg Air Force Base in California carrying a Keyhole 4 military surveillance satellite.<ref>http://www.astronautix.com/thisday/febary28.htm</ref> The rocket started to veer off course and was intentionally destroyed<ref>http://www.friends-partners.org/partners/mwade/lvs/tatgenad.htm</ref> at an altitude of 44 kilometers (144,000 feet) at 1:52pm.<ref>McDonald, Dr. James E, Cloud-Ring in the Upper Stratosphere, ''Weatherwise'', June 1963, Page 100</ref>
Today, rocket launches from Vandenberg are routinely documented on video. Depending on atmospheric conditions, they can be seen from Tucson and beyond, leaving mesospheric clouds that remain illuminated well after sunset.<ref>http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=SGBuQL-FvGI</ref><ref>http://spaceflightnow.com/minotaur/cosmic/launch.html and http://www.atoptics.co.uk/highsky/rktr1j.htm</ref> This kind of direct visual evidence was simply unavailable in 1963.
[[Image:NasaMakesACloud.jpg|thumb|370px|In March 2012 NASA made some clouds in the morning sky with a shape and height similar to the February 1963 cloud.]]
The cloud was investigated by Dr. James F. MacDonald in a number of published scientific reports.  Dr. MacDonald is famous for his investigations of UFO's, yet was senior physicist at the Institute for Atmospheric Physics and professor in the Department of Meteorology, University of Arizona, Tucson.


Dr. MacDonald never published a final report on the cloud. Why?  It is likely that he lost interest in the cloud as he arrived at a likely explanation of the cloud that was not particularly interesting, i.e. the explosion of the rocket.  As an individual who criticized the scientific community for ignoring phenomena that defied interpretation by conventional science, it is extremely unlikely that he would have failed to publish a final report on the cloud simply because he could not explain it.
Scientists also linked similar clouds appearing later in 1963 to rocket launches:<blockquote>''A bright noctilucent cloud was observed and photographed northwest of Tucson on 15 June 1963. Results of computations indicate that the cloud was at a height of 71 kilometers. The cloud appears to have resulted from the launching of a Scout space vehicle.''<ref>[http://www.sciencemag.org/content/141/3586/1176.abstract Science Magazine, September 1963: Vol. 141, no. 3586, pp. 1176-1178, DOI: 10.1126/science.141.3586.1176, ''Low-Latitude Noctilucent Cloud of 15 June 1963'', Aden B. Meinel1, Barbara Middlehurst, Ewen Whitaker]</ref></blockquote><blockquote>''Measurement of the filamentary noctilucent cloud of 2 November 1963 yields a height of 56 km. Study of the motion and orientation of the cloud confirms the hypothesis that these unusual clouds appearing in the southwestern states are produced by the launching of rocket vehicles from the Pacific Missile Range.''<ref>[http://www.sciencemag.org/content/143/3601/38.abstract Science Magazine, January 1964: Vol. 143, no. 3601, pp. 38-39, DOI:0.1126/science.143.3601.38, Low-Latitude Noctilucent Cloud of 2 November 1963, Aden B. Meinel, Carolyn P. Meinel]</ref></blockquote>
[[Image:NasaMakesACloud.jpg|thumb|370px]]NASA has launched several experimental rockets to try to understand the increasing prevalence of noctilucent clouds. Noctilucent clouds have been increasing in occurrence over the past 100 years, and some scientists think it may be related to climate change. The clouds NASA created were very similar to the 1963 Arizona Cloud. Was that just a coincidence?


The facts:
=== Why Didn't Dr. McDonald Publish a Final Report? ===
#The explosion of the rocket was on the same day as the cloud appeared.
Dr. McDonald was senior physicist at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics and professor of meteorology at the University of Arizona. He was also well known for his serious investigation of UFO reports — which makes him an unlikely candidate to shelve a genuinely unexplained phenomenon simply out of disinterest. The most natural explanation for his failure to publish a final report is that he arrived at a sufficient explanation — the rocket — and didn't consider that conclusion publishable as a scientific finding. A researcher who made his reputation pursuing phenomena that defied conventional science would not have quietly dropped the subject if it remained genuinely mysterious.
#The explosion of the rocket was at the same height as the height of the cloud (the height of the explosion was exact while the height of the cloud was estimated). 
#No one recorded the wind speed on the day of the Thor explosion Vandenburg but the wind speed recorded by scientists at other times, according to Dr. Macdonald, "tantalizingly close" to the required wind speed.
#Windspeeds can vary with distance and therefore, the rocket explanation is the most plausible.
#When the launch records were later declassified, the United States Air Force released a memo explaining that the cloud was the result of a military operation.<ref>Jackson, Jeff G., 30th Space Wing History, Department of the Air Force, January 26, 1995, Vandenburg AFB, California</ref>


Dr. McDonald reports that the cloud appeared in the Mesosphere, but that clouds cannot form at this height. <ref> http://www.spokenwordchurch.com/themessageresourcelibrary/Articles/Cloud%20Article%20-%20Dr%20McDonalds%20Cloud%20Investigation%20Supplement%201963.pdf </ref>  However, '''Dr. McDonald has subsequently been proven wrong''' - visible exhaust clouds can reach into the Mesosphere. <ref>http://www.atoptics.co.uk/highsky/rktr1j.htm </ref>  More recently, NASA has been testing wind currents at high altitudes by creating extremely high clouds with chemicals.  Some of these artificial clouds appear in shapes remarkably similar to the February 28, 1963 photograph published in Life Magazine and exist without an “exhaust trail” back to the launch site. <ref>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/03/pictures/120327-nasa-rockets-clouds-wallops-jet-stream-edge-space-science/#/nasa-rocket-launch-strange-clouds-blue_50490_600x450.jpg</ref> 
What is extremely interesting is Dr. McDonald's 1967 response to Pearry Green's view of the supernatural nature of the Cloud.
----


Unlike the 1960s, anyone can now see rocket launches from the Vandenburg Air Force Base in California on Youtube.<ref> http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=SGBuQL-FvGI </ref>  Depending on conditions, these launches can be seen from Tucson and beyond, and can leave clouds stretching into the mesosphere that remain illuminated long after sunset. <ref> http://spaceflightnow.com/minotaur/cosmic/launch.html and http://www.atoptics.co.uk/highsky/rktr1j.htm </ref>   
== Dr. McDonald's Re-Assessment ==
[[File:19670405 Mysterious Cloud Formation Vanishes Under Examination.jpg|right|250px]]
In April 1967, Dr. McDonald wrote a letter to ''The Arizona Republic'' that leaves no ambiguity about his conclusions:
----''THE ARIZONA REPUBLIC — Wednesday, April 5, 1967''


The fact that rocket launches were seen as the cause of similar clouds appearing shortly after the Cloud appeared was also confirmed by scientists.  For example:
'''Mysterious Cloud Formation Vanishes Under Examination'''


:'''Abstract''' - A bright noctilucent cloud was observed and photographed northwest of Tucson on 15 June 1963. Results of computations indicate that the cloud was at a height of 71 kilometers. The cloud appears to have resulted from the launching of a Scout space vehicle. <ref> [http://www.sciencemag.org/content/141/3586/1176.abstract Science Magazine, September 1963: Vol. 141, no. 3586, pp. 1176-1178, DOI: 10.1126/science.141.3586.1176, ''Low-Latitude Noctilucent Cloud of 15 June 1963'', Aden B. Meinel1, Barbara Middlehurst, Ewen Whitaker]</ref>
Editor, The Arizona Republic:


:'''Abstract''' - Measurement of the filamentary noctilucent cloud of 2 November 1963 yields a height of 56 km. Study of the motion and orientation of the cloud confirms the hypothesis that these unusual clouds appearing in the southwestern states are produced by the launching of rocket vehicles from the Pacific Missile Range.<ref>[http://www.sciencemag.org/content/143/3601/38.abstract Science Magazine, January 1964: Vol. 143, no. 3601, pp. 38-39, DOI:0.1126/science.143.3601.38, Low-Latitude Noctilucent Cloud of 2 November 1963, Aden B. Meinel, Carolyn P. Meinel]</ref>
The March 26 issue of your Sunday supplement, ''Arizona'', carried an article by Reporter Dave Davies, entitled "The Cloud," concerning a very unusual stratospheric cloud formation that appeared over Flagstaff on Feb. 28, 1963.


===Why was the cloud not seen before sunset?===
My investigations of that cloud are quoted in part, but a number of aspects of my findings were omitted or overlooked, so that '''the supernatural and religious construction that has been put on that event was improperly supported.'''


Questions have also been raised as to why was the cloud not seen prior to appearing over Flagstaff.
I am quoted as "frankly skeptical," as if to suggest that I am half-convinced, half-unconvinced by the occult interpretation. '''I am, in fact, wholly unconvinced and regard the entire business as quite distressing.'''


To explain this, one has to understand a natural phenomenon - the noctilucent cloud. Noctilucent clouds (or night clouds) are tenuous cloud-like phenomena in the upper atmosphere. '''They are only visible in a deep twilight.''' They are made of ice crystals. Noctilucent roughly means night shining in Latin. They are most commonly observed in the summer months at latitudes between 50° and 70° north and south of the equator. These clouds can be observed only during local summer months and when the Sun is below the horizon for the observer, but while the clouds are still in sunlight.
IT IS NOT CORRECT that the cloud "swept northward across Arizona." It moved in from almost due west. If Mr. Sothman saw anything which he thought to be a "strange circular-shaped cloud rise into the air" over Branham's head, he is clearly talking about some other cloud than that of Feb. 28 over Flagstaff.


They are the highest clouds in Earth's atmosphere, located in the mesosphere at altitudes of around 76 to 85 kilometres (47 to 53 mi). They are too faint to be seen during daylight and are visible only when illuminated by sunlight from below the horizon while the lower layers of the atmosphere are in the Earth's shadow. Noctilucent clouds are not fully understood and are a recently discovered meteorological phenomenon
Sothman is quoted as asserting that "it was kind of small at first, but the higher it rose the bigger it became." The observations of scores of reliable witnesses disinclined to pseudo-religious interpretations attest to the fact that the Flagstaff cloud appeared and disappeared without significant overall size or shape change.


Given that the cloud was similar to a [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noctilucent_cloud noctilucent cloud], it would not be visible until the sky began to darken at sunset.  Dr. MacDonald made no mention of the noctilucent cloud phenomena in his report.
Rev. Pearry Green, cited in the article, asserted to me ('''in a phone conversation in which I pointed out many discrepancies in the occult interpretation he and others seek to place on this event''') that the "seven angels," after speaking to Rev. Branham, flew up into the sky and assumed the form of this cloud which, he claims, outlined the face of Christ to Branham.


In March 2012, NASA launched five rockets off the east coast of the USA to create some of these clouds. These clouds formed rings that look like the May 1963 Life magazine photo. <ref>http://www.gizmag.com/nasa-tracer-rockets-form-ringed-clouds-at-the-edge-of-space/21972/pictures#12</ref>
AS A MATTER of fact, the photograph which accompanied the recent article as alleged documentation of this angelic revelation constitutes a projection entirely different from that which an observer would have seen in Branham's reported location in the Sunset Mountain area.


==The Second Cloud==
From the latter area, as also from Tucson where I myself saw it, '''the cloud bore absolutely no resemblance to any face.''' Rev. Mr. Green asserts that "facial features" can be seen in the inside of the cloud. When I told him no such features are detectable on the original prints, and when I asked for sample copies of the prints which he claimed showed such features, I never received any copies to examine.


Questions have also been raised about a second cloud accompanying the cloud.  The second cloud is noted in the Life Magazine (and some other scientific reports), and appears in a smaller photograph off to the north-west.  
'''And the amusing matter of the satellite cloud, west of Flagstaff, which shows on numerous photos taken from eastern Arizona and New Mexico, but which Branham's group did not know about until I confronted Green with it, seems to go a long way towards exposing the irrationality of the religious interpretations.'''


This second cloud presents a serious problem for those arguing for a supernatural explanation: were there 2 sets of angels?  Why didn't William Branham mention the second cloud if he was standing right underneath it?
'''DAVIES OMITTED all mention of data I gave him on the detonation of a rocket at Vandenberg Air Force Base at almost precisely the elevation of that cloud, about four hours earlier that day. Although there do indeed remain difficulties in explaining that cloud, supernaturalism ought not be even a last resort.'''


==Problems with the Spiritual Interpretation==
'''Let's keep the Middle Ages back where they belong.'''


Questions that must be asked if the cloud is seen to be supernatural in origin:
''JAMES E. MCDONALD, Professor, UofA, Institute of Atmospheric Physics''
----


#If the cloud is related to the events which occurred at [[Rattlesnake Mesa]], why didn't the cloud appear there?
== Why Wasn't the Cloud Visible Before Sunset? ==
#Why did William Branham state that the cloud was directly above him when it appeared 8 days earlier 200 miles away?
The cloud sat at approximately 43 kilometers altitude — well into the mesosphere. At that height, it remained illuminated by direct sunlight even after the sun dropped below the horizon for ground observers. This is exactly the same optical geometry that makes noctilucent clouds visible at twilight: the lower atmosphere falls into shadow first, while objects at very high altitude continue to catch oblique sunlight for some time afterward. The 28-minute post-sunset illumination period is entirely consistent with a mesospheric cloud and requires no supernatural explanation.
#William Branham stated that the Cloud was formed as the angels left him. If that is the case, why did the Cloud appear 8 days prior to the visitation of the angels.
#Why didn't the cloud appear at the time that William Branham said that his [[Prophecy of the Cloud|vision]] was fulfilled?
#Why does he state that the magazine refers to the same place that he was hunting when it clearly does not?
#Why does he again state that he was under the cloud, when he wasn't anywhere close to it?  Some message ministers have stated that the Cloud that William Branham saw was in another dimension but he specifically states that the Cloud that was formed when the angels left him and that science took a picture of that cloud?
#Why did he say absolutely nothing about the Cloud until he was shown a picture of it in Life magazine?
#People have indicated the William Branham stated privately that the angels had been waiting for him a week before he arrived. There are a number of problems with this explanation:
##The statement occurs nowhere in the tapes, so cannot be verified. Is this something that a message believer simply made up to explain the time problem?
##William Branham stated that the Cloud was formed when the angels left.  This does not agree with the theory that the Cloud was formed when they arrived.
##If there was a face in the Cloud, why was it looking towards Las Vegas?


This also accounts for why the cloud wasn't noticed earlier. High-altitude clouds of this type are too faint to be seen against a bright daytime sky. They become visible only once the background sky darkens enough at dusk. A cloud present at 43 kilometers since 1:52 p.m. could easily have gone unobserved until twilight.
----
== The Second Cloud ==
[[Image:April 1963 Science Magazine page 1.png|thumb|250px|right|Science Magazine April 1963 page 292]]
[[Image:63 04 Science Vol 140 Page 2.png|thumb|250px|right|Science Magazine April 1963 page 293]]
[[Image:63 04 Science Vol 140 Page 3.png|thumb|250px|right|Science Magazine April 1963 page 294]]
The April 1963 ''Science Magazine'' article documented a second cloud visible in photographs taken from eastern Arizona and New Mexico, appearing to the northwest of the main cloud. Dr. McDonald raised this himself in his 1967 letter, noting that Branham's group was unaware of it until he confronted Pearry Green with the photographic evidence.
This poses a direct problem for the supernatural interpretation. If the main cloud formed from angels ascending after their meeting with Branham, what produced the second cloud? A companion cloud is exactly what one would expect from a rocket debris field dispersed across diverging high-altitude wind currents. It fits no version of the angelic account.
----
=Responding to Bill Rostron's video=
''For our detailed analysis of Bill Rostron's video, please go to [[A critical analysis of Bill Rostron's presentation on the Cloud|Debunking Rostron's Presentation]]
Bill Rostron's video comprises almost 6 hours of mind-numbing detail on why the cloud was not a result of a rocket explosion. Unfortunately for Bill Rostron, his reasoning and detailed mathematical calculations fall apart when viewed critically.
Here are the major problems:
#Rostron spends a significant portion of the presentation establishing a genuine point of atmospheric physics: natural moisture gets "wrung out" of the air as altitude increases, and by the time you reach 44 kilometers the water vapor content is so low that cloud formation is essentially impossible under normal conditions. But the rocket hypothesis does not require natural moisture. The entire premise of the rocket explanation is that the rocket, when destroyed at 44 kilometers, introduced water into an environment that would not otherwise contain them. That's precisely why the cloud appeared where natural clouds don't.
#Rostron's key quantitative argument is that the cloud required approximately 2.2 million pounds (about 1 million kilograms) of water to form. He's wrong because he bases his calculations on a cirrus cloud. But that's the wrong kind of cloud. A noctilucent cloud is roughly one thousand to one hundred thousand times less dense than an ordinary cirrus cloud. You only need hundreds of pounds of water, not millions.
#Rostron has analysed the wrong part of the rocket. He calculated the potential water vapour from the solid fuel boosters, but they would have been depleted before the explosion. He ignores the fuel left in the main and second stages, which were capable of producing thousands of pounds of water.
#Rostron's comments regarding wind speed are irrelevant. Looking at wind speed data on a single day in the present doesn't prove anything about what windspeeds were on a specific day in 1963.
#Rostron's comments on wind direction actually prove the rocket theory is probable.
#Rostron completely ignores the elephant in the room, Branham's made up story about where he was when the cloud appeared.
Bill Rostron spent six hours making calculations based on incorrect data and bad assumptions. When we correct his data and assumptions ([[A critical analysis of Bill Rostron's presentation on the Cloud|see our detailed article]]), we prove the rocket to be the only real explanation for the cloud.
= Problems with the Spiritual Interpretation =
The chronological and geographical facts present serious, unresolved difficulties for those who believe the cloud was a supernatural sign connected to Branham's angelic visitation.
'''1. Location mismatch.''' The cloud appeared near Flagstaff. Branham's reported angelic visitation occurred at Rattlesnake Mesa near Sunset Mountain — roughly 200 miles away. If the cloud was meant to mark the event, it appeared in the wrong place.
'''2. Branham claimed to be standing under it.''' He said this explicitly and repeatedly. He was approximately 200 miles from where the cloud actually appeared.
'''3. The timing is backwards.''' Branham stated that the cloud formed as the angels left him. The cloud appeared on February 28. By his own account, the angelic visitation happened on March 8 — eight days later. A cloud cannot be the result of an event that had not yet occurred.
'''4. No mention until the magazine.''' Branham said nothing about any connection between the cloud and his angelic visitation until after someone showed him the ''Life Magazine'' photograph. If he had been present at the cloud's formation — or even aware of its significance — this silence is inexplicable.
'''5. The magazine's location.''' Branham claimed the magazine article was describing the same location where he was hunting. It was not.
'''6. The face in the cloud.''' Message believers have claimed the photograph shows a face. Dr. McDonald examined the original prints and found no such features. When he asked Pearry Green for copies of the prints that supposedly showed them, none were ever provided.
'''7. Which direction was the face looking?''' If the cloud bore the face of Christ, the photograph shows it oriented toward Las Vegas — not toward Branham's location.
Some message ministers have attempted to resolve the timing problem by claiming Branham said privately that the angels had been waiting a week before he arrived. This doesn't hold up. The statement appears nowhere in Branham's recorded sermons and cannot be verified. More critically, it directly contradicts Branham's own public account — that the cloud formed when the angels ''left'', not when they arrived. A private, unrecorded explanation that contradicts the public record should carry very little weight.
----
== Key Documents ==
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/63+02+28+Cloud+Launch+Record.jpg Declassified 1963 02 28 Thor launch record]
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/63+02+28+Declassified+AF+doc+re+Pitch+Pine.pdf Declassified 1963 02 28 Pitch Pine launch record]
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/80+06+05+U+of+A+Cloud+Letter+.jpg University of Arizona letter of June 5, 1980]
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/95+01+26+AF+re+cloud+1.jpg 1995 01 26 Air Force letter - page 1] and [https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/95+01+26+AF+re+cloud+2.jpg page 2]
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/96+08+23+Meinel+letter+re+cloud.jpg 1996 08 23 letter from Mrs. Meinel]
#[https://btspublicdocs.s3.ca-central-1.amazonaws.com/96+09+10+MacDonald.jpg 1996 09 10 letter from Mrs. MacDonald]
=Video Script=
=Video Script=



Latest revision as of 18:55, 18 June 2026


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The Cloud (Part 2) - What Caused The Cloud?.
Page 112 of the May 1963 edition of Life Magazine

The Arizona Cloud of February 28, 1963

At around sunset on February 28, 1963, an unusual cloud appeared in the vicinity of Flagstaff, Arizona and remained sunlit for 28 minutes after sunset. It attracted significant scientific attention, appearing in the May 1963 edition of Life Magazine, Science Magazine (April 19, 1963), Weatherwise Magazine (June 1963), and an independent scientific report issued May 31, 1963.

Dr. James E. McDonald of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics at the University of Arizona initially estimated the cloud's altitude at approximately 35 kilometers, later revising that figure to approximately 43 kilometers (141,000 feet). Despite his investigation, no conclusive public explanation was offered at the time.


What Does the Cloud Mean?

Followers of William Branham's message view the cloud as supernatural — the fulfillment of a December 1962 vision in which Branham foresaw seven angels meeting him outside Tucson, Arizona (see Prophecy of the Cloud).. They connect it to his subsequent opening of the Seven Seals and regard it as divine confirmation of his prophetic ministry.

Critics take a different view entirely. They argue the cloud has a straightforward natural explanation: it was the debris from a Thor rocket intentionally destroyed over Vandenberg Air Force Base earlier that same day. More significantly, critics argue that Branham's own testimony about being present at the cloud's formation is demonstrably false — a story that emerged only after he saw the Life Magazine photograph, and that directly contradicts verifiable facts about the cloud's location and timing.


The Scientific Explanation

On February 28, 1963, a thrust-assisted Thor rocket was launched from pad 75-3-5 at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California, carrying a Keyhole 4 military surveillance satellite.[1] The rocket veered off course and was intentionally destroyed[2] at an altitude of 44 kilometers (144,000 feet) at 1:52 p.m.[3]

Several lines of evidence connect the rocket to the cloud:

  1. Same day. The rocket was destroyed on the same day the cloud appeared.
  2. Same altitude. The rocket was destroyed at 44 kilometers; the cloud was independently estimated at 43 kilometers — a near-exact match.
  3. Consistent wind speeds. No wind speed data was recorded at Vandenberg on that specific day, but Dr. McDonald noted that wind speeds measured at comparable altitudes at other times were "tantalizingly close" to what would have been required to carry debris from Vandenberg to Flagstaff. Since wind speeds vary by location and altitude, these measurements are consistent with a transport scenario, not proof against one.
  4. Military confirmation. When launch records were later declassified, the United States Air Force released documentation confirming that the cloud resulted from a military rocket operation.[4]

Dr. McDonald initially noted that clouds do not normally form at mesospheric altitudes — but subsequent research demonstrated that visible exhaust clouds from rocket launches can indeed reach into the mesosphere.[5][6] NASA has since created similar high-altitude clouds in chemical experiments, and some closely resemble the shape photographed on February 28 — appearing without any visible exhaust trail back to the launch site.[7]

Today, rocket launches from Vandenberg are routinely documented on video. Depending on atmospheric conditions, they can be seen from Tucson and beyond, leaving mesospheric clouds that remain illuminated well after sunset.[8][9] This kind of direct visual evidence was simply unavailable in 1963.

Scientists also linked similar clouds appearing later in 1963 to rocket launches:

A bright noctilucent cloud was observed and photographed northwest of Tucson on 15 June 1963. Results of computations indicate that the cloud was at a height of 71 kilometers. The cloud appears to have resulted from the launching of a Scout space vehicle.[10]

Measurement of the filamentary noctilucent cloud of 2 November 1963 yields a height of 56 km. Study of the motion and orientation of the cloud confirms the hypothesis that these unusual clouds appearing in the southwestern states are produced by the launching of rocket vehicles from the Pacific Missile Range.[11]

NASA has launched several experimental rockets to try to understand the increasing prevalence of noctilucent clouds. Noctilucent clouds have been increasing in occurrence over the past 100 years, and some scientists think it may be related to climate change. The clouds NASA created were very similar to the 1963 Arizona Cloud. Was that just a coincidence?

Why Didn't Dr. McDonald Publish a Final Report?

Dr. McDonald was senior physicist at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics and professor of meteorology at the University of Arizona. He was also well known for his serious investigation of UFO reports — which makes him an unlikely candidate to shelve a genuinely unexplained phenomenon simply out of disinterest. The most natural explanation for his failure to publish a final report is that he arrived at a sufficient explanation — the rocket — and didn't consider that conclusion publishable as a scientific finding. A researcher who made his reputation pursuing phenomena that defied conventional science would not have quietly dropped the subject if it remained genuinely mysterious.

What is extremely interesting is Dr. McDonald's 1967 response to Pearry Green's view of the supernatural nature of the Cloud.


Dr. McDonald's Re-Assessment

In April 1967, Dr. McDonald wrote a letter to The Arizona Republic that leaves no ambiguity about his conclusions:


THE ARIZONA REPUBLIC — Wednesday, April 5, 1967

Mysterious Cloud Formation Vanishes Under Examination

Editor, The Arizona Republic:

The March 26 issue of your Sunday supplement, Arizona, carried an article by Reporter Dave Davies, entitled "The Cloud," concerning a very unusual stratospheric cloud formation that appeared over Flagstaff on Feb. 28, 1963.

My investigations of that cloud are quoted in part, but a number of aspects of my findings were omitted or overlooked, so that the supernatural and religious construction that has been put on that event was improperly supported.

I am quoted as "frankly skeptical," as if to suggest that I am half-convinced, half-unconvinced by the occult interpretation. I am, in fact, wholly unconvinced and regard the entire business as quite distressing.

IT IS NOT CORRECT that the cloud "swept northward across Arizona." It moved in from almost due west. If Mr. Sothman saw anything which he thought to be a "strange circular-shaped cloud rise into the air" over Branham's head, he is clearly talking about some other cloud than that of Feb. 28 over Flagstaff.

Sothman is quoted as asserting that "it was kind of small at first, but the higher it rose the bigger it became." The observations of scores of reliable witnesses disinclined to pseudo-religious interpretations attest to the fact that the Flagstaff cloud appeared and disappeared without significant overall size or shape change.

Rev. Pearry Green, cited in the article, asserted to me (in a phone conversation in which I pointed out many discrepancies in the occult interpretation he and others seek to place on this event) that the "seven angels," after speaking to Rev. Branham, flew up into the sky and assumed the form of this cloud which, he claims, outlined the face of Christ to Branham.

AS A MATTER of fact, the photograph which accompanied the recent article as alleged documentation of this angelic revelation constitutes a projection entirely different from that which an observer would have seen in Branham's reported location in the Sunset Mountain area.

From the latter area, as also from Tucson where I myself saw it, the cloud bore absolutely no resemblance to any face. Rev. Mr. Green asserts that "facial features" can be seen in the inside of the cloud. When I told him no such features are detectable on the original prints, and when I asked for sample copies of the prints which he claimed showed such features, I never received any copies to examine.

And the amusing matter of the satellite cloud, west of Flagstaff, which shows on numerous photos taken from eastern Arizona and New Mexico, but which Branham's group did not know about until I confronted Green with it, seems to go a long way towards exposing the irrationality of the religious interpretations.

DAVIES OMITTED all mention of data I gave him on the detonation of a rocket at Vandenberg Air Force Base at almost precisely the elevation of that cloud, about four hours earlier that day. Although there do indeed remain difficulties in explaining that cloud, supernaturalism ought not be even a last resort.

Let's keep the Middle Ages back where they belong.

JAMES E. MCDONALD, Professor, UofA, Institute of Atmospheric Physics


Why Wasn't the Cloud Visible Before Sunset?

The cloud sat at approximately 43 kilometers altitude — well into the mesosphere. At that height, it remained illuminated by direct sunlight even after the sun dropped below the horizon for ground observers. This is exactly the same optical geometry that makes noctilucent clouds visible at twilight: the lower atmosphere falls into shadow first, while objects at very high altitude continue to catch oblique sunlight for some time afterward. The 28-minute post-sunset illumination period is entirely consistent with a mesospheric cloud and requires no supernatural explanation.

This also accounts for why the cloud wasn't noticed earlier. High-altitude clouds of this type are too faint to be seen against a bright daytime sky. They become visible only once the background sky darkens enough at dusk. A cloud present at 43 kilometers since 1:52 p.m. could easily have gone unobserved until twilight.


The Second Cloud

Science Magazine April 1963 page 292
Science Magazine April 1963 page 293
Science Magazine April 1963 page 294

The April 1963 Science Magazine article documented a second cloud visible in photographs taken from eastern Arizona and New Mexico, appearing to the northwest of the main cloud. Dr. McDonald raised this himself in his 1967 letter, noting that Branham's group was unaware of it until he confronted Pearry Green with the photographic evidence.

This poses a direct problem for the supernatural interpretation. If the main cloud formed from angels ascending after their meeting with Branham, what produced the second cloud? A companion cloud is exactly what one would expect from a rocket debris field dispersed across diverging high-altitude wind currents. It fits no version of the angelic account.


Responding to Bill Rostron's video

For our detailed analysis of Bill Rostron's video, please go to Debunking Rostron's Presentation

Bill Rostron's video comprises almost 6 hours of mind-numbing detail on why the cloud was not a result of a rocket explosion. Unfortunately for Bill Rostron, his reasoning and detailed mathematical calculations fall apart when viewed critically.

Here are the major problems:

  1. Rostron spends a significant portion of the presentation establishing a genuine point of atmospheric physics: natural moisture gets "wrung out" of the air as altitude increases, and by the time you reach 44 kilometers the water vapor content is so low that cloud formation is essentially impossible under normal conditions. But the rocket hypothesis does not require natural moisture. The entire premise of the rocket explanation is that the rocket, when destroyed at 44 kilometers, introduced water into an environment that would not otherwise contain them. That's precisely why the cloud appeared where natural clouds don't.
  2. Rostron's key quantitative argument is that the cloud required approximately 2.2 million pounds (about 1 million kilograms) of water to form. He's wrong because he bases his calculations on a cirrus cloud. But that's the wrong kind of cloud. A noctilucent cloud is roughly one thousand to one hundred thousand times less dense than an ordinary cirrus cloud. You only need hundreds of pounds of water, not millions.
  3. Rostron has analysed the wrong part of the rocket. He calculated the potential water vapour from the solid fuel boosters, but they would have been depleted before the explosion. He ignores the fuel left in the main and second stages, which were capable of producing thousands of pounds of water.
  4. Rostron's comments regarding wind speed are irrelevant. Looking at wind speed data on a single day in the present doesn't prove anything about what windspeeds were on a specific day in 1963.
  5. Rostron's comments on wind direction actually prove the rocket theory is probable.
  6. Rostron completely ignores the elephant in the room, Branham's made up story about where he was when the cloud appeared.

Bill Rostron spent six hours making calculations based on incorrect data and bad assumptions. When we correct his data and assumptions (see our detailed article), we prove the rocket to be the only real explanation for the cloud.

Problems with the Spiritual Interpretation

The chronological and geographical facts present serious, unresolved difficulties for those who believe the cloud was a supernatural sign connected to Branham's angelic visitation.

1. Location mismatch. The cloud appeared near Flagstaff. Branham's reported angelic visitation occurred at Rattlesnake Mesa near Sunset Mountain — roughly 200 miles away. If the cloud was meant to mark the event, it appeared in the wrong place.

2. Branham claimed to be standing under it. He said this explicitly and repeatedly. He was approximately 200 miles from where the cloud actually appeared.

3. The timing is backwards. Branham stated that the cloud formed as the angels left him. The cloud appeared on February 28. By his own account, the angelic visitation happened on March 8 — eight days later. A cloud cannot be the result of an event that had not yet occurred.

4. No mention until the magazine. Branham said nothing about any connection between the cloud and his angelic visitation until after someone showed him the Life Magazine photograph. If he had been present at the cloud's formation — or even aware of its significance — this silence is inexplicable.

5. The magazine's location. Branham claimed the magazine article was describing the same location where he was hunting. It was not.

6. The face in the cloud. Message believers have claimed the photograph shows a face. Dr. McDonald examined the original prints and found no such features. When he asked Pearry Green for copies of the prints that supposedly showed them, none were ever provided.

7. Which direction was the face looking? If the cloud bore the face of Christ, the photograph shows it oriented toward Las Vegas — not toward Branham's location.

Some message ministers have attempted to resolve the timing problem by claiming Branham said privately that the angels had been waiting a week before he arrived. This doesn't hold up. The statement appears nowhere in Branham's recorded sermons and cannot be verified. More critically, it directly contradicts Branham's own public account — that the cloud formed when the angels left, not when they arrived. A private, unrecorded explanation that contradicts the public record should carry very little weight.


Key Documents

  1. Declassified 1963 02 28 Thor launch record
  2. Declassified 1963 02 28 Pitch Pine launch record
  3. University of Arizona letter of June 5, 1980
  4. 1995 01 26 Air Force letter - page 1 and page 2
  5. 1996 08 23 letter from Mrs. Meinel
  6. 1996 09 10 letter from Mrs. MacDonald

Video Script

At dusk on February 28, 1963, a cloud appeared in the skies above Flagstaff, Arizona and remained sunlit for 28 minutes after sunset. It was highlighted in the May 1963 edition of Life Magazine. William Branham explained that the cloud was part of the fulfillment of a vision that he had in December 1962.

IT.IS.THE.RISING.OF.THE.SUN_ JEFF.IN V-3 N-12 SUNDAY_ 65-0418M

Later, the Angels appeared as was prophesied. And at the same time, a great cluster of Light left where I was standing, and moved thirty miles high in the air, and around the circle, like the wings of the Angels, and drawed into the skies a shape of a pyramid in the same constellation of Angels that appeared.
Science took the picture, all the way from Mexico, as it moved from northern Arizona, where the Holy Spirit said I would be standing, "forty miles northeast of Tucson." And it went into the air, and Life magazine packed the pictures,

William Branham said that the angels appeared to him while he was standing in northern Arizona, and that when they left him they created a cloud that was pictured in the Life Magazine.

There are a few problems with this.

First, forty miles northeast of Tucson is not northern Arizona. Go get a map and measure it for yourself. The southern tip of the cloud was just north of Flagstaff when the photo was taken. Flagstaff is in northern Arizona, and Tucson is in Southern Arizona.

Second, the cloud that appeared in Life Magazine was photographed one week before William Branham went hunting. William Branham’s daughter Rebecca Smith confirmed this in an article she wrote called “Return to Sunset”, which was published in the “Only Believe” magazine.

Finally, William Branham was hunting in the morning, and the cloud appeared in the evening.

So if the cloud was not caused by angels leaving Brother Branham, as he claimed during this sermon, caused it to appear?

In the Life Magazine article, Dr. James McDonald stated that he was not aware of any rocket explosions that day. However, he later wrote a supplemental report where he discusses the explosion of a THOR rocket that had been launched from Vandenburg Airforce base in California earlier that day.

So we looked at the story of the rocket to try to see how likely it was that this explosion caused the cloud and here's what we found.

On February 28, 1963, a Thrust assisted Thor Agenda D rocket was launched from Vandenberg air force base in California. The rocket was carrying a military spy satellite.

The rocket malfunctioned and was intentionally destroyed at 1:52 in the afternoon at an estimated height of 44 kilometers.

The height of the cloud that appeared over Flagstaff later that same day was estimated to be about 43 kilometers miles high. Is this just a random coincidence?

In order to travel the required distance from California to Arizona, the cloud would have to be travelling at 135 miles per hour that afternoon. But Dr. James McDonald wrote that the wind speed recorded by scientists was, "tantalizingly close" to the 135 mile an hour wind speed required to carry the cloud from Vandenberg to Flagstaff.

The prevailing winds in California blow from west to east. It is also not unusual for Jetstream winds to vary in speed as you go from north to south. Windspeeds on March 1st, 1963 at an altitude of 43 kilometers were 90 miles an hour at White Sands, New Mexico and 125 miles per hour at Point Mugu, California.

Winds and atmospheric conditions are notoriously unpredictable. However, rocket trails from launches at Vandenberg air force base are regularly seen in Arizona… and even as far east as Oklahoma City.

On March 27, 2012, NASA launched 5 suborbital sounding rockets which released a chemical tracer that created milky white clouds 60 miles above the earth. They did this to learn about wind-speeds in the Mesosphere. The pictures that they took reveal circular clouds similar to the February 28, 1963 cloud.

Someone imposed the picture of Jesus from Hoffman’s painting “Christ at 33” into the photo of the 1963 cloud. The painting first had to be reversed to do this. If you are not a message believer, you are likely offended by this picture.

Still, you can take the same picture from Hoffman’s painting and impose it on the clouds from March 2012, without reversing it. If you are a message believer, you are likely offended by this picture.

But, whether you are looking at the 1963 cloud or the 2012 cloud, you have to manipulate the image to make the picture fit.

Questions have been raised as to why the cloud was not seen between Vandenberg and Flagstaff. However, noctilucent clouds are very thin and are only visible at dawn or dusk. They cannot be seen until the sky starts to darken overhead as it does at sunset. That is why the Cloud “appeared” over Flagstaff in the evening and was not seen between California and Flagstff.

Based on all of the facts available, it is not only plausible but highly likely that the cloud over Flagstaff was formed by the high altitude destruction of the Thor rocket over Vandenberg Air force base.

However, our examination of the cloud is not over. We will next look at whether the cloud could be in any way related to the events which occurred at Rattlesnake Mesa.

Evidence from the Branham Family

Rebekah Branham Smith, William Branham's daughter, also wrote on the Cloud and specifically details the timing of the events surrounding the appearance of the Cloud in the Only Believe Magazine, "Road to Sunset".

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